A much better week from a week ago, as I finished 9-7, bringing the year to date to 47-35. So, if you're sticking with me since I joined the pick'em ranks partway through this season, you've been rewarded somewhat.
This week has a lot of divisional matchups, most of which are pretty uninspiring, but there are still a few noteworthy games, including Cincy-Baltimore, San Diego-Chicago, Tennessee-Atlanta, and, of course, who could forget the ultimate: Jacksonville-Cleveland. Picks are in bold, and odds are from Bodog (via OddsShark).
New York Jets (-7) @ Denver Broncos -- Oh, great, another Tebow conundrum. Darrelle Revis and the Jets are talking, of course. And all Timmy likes to do is cover spreads. Unfortunately, I don't think this will be one of those times. The Jets are reeling, and they need this one badly. The defense should be plenty motivated after they were embarrassed against the Patriots on Sunday night.
Sunday Early Games
Cincinnati Bengals (+9) @ Baltimore Ravens -- This line will move (Bodog hasn't set it yet). But if it stays at +9, I really like the Bengals to cover. The Ravens played down to their opponent big-time against the Seahawks, but should be focused against the Bengals. But Andy Dalton has kept Cincy in it all year, and that should be enough for a cover.
Cleveland Browns (+1) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars -- I might hate myself for this one, but it looks like this is the last good chance at a win the Browns have left on their schedule. They're at home, the Jags aren't anything special, and the defense, aside from that touchdown drive, looked really good on Sunday. Call me crazy, but I think the Browns win this one.
Carolina Panthers (+7) @ Detroit Lions -- The Paper Lions are back. What an embarrassing display on Sunday. Whether it is the lack of a running game after Best's injury, Stafford's finger causing problems, special teams, or what, Detroit has been exposed. The Panthers need to take a step in the right direction after getting blasted by Tennessee last week, and they may not win, but this should be close.
Green Bay Packers (-14) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- I can't pick against the Packers until they lose a game, I guess. The defense finally came to play against the Vikings on Monday night, and if they sustain that kind of intensity, Aaron Rodgers should give them plenty of offense to blow this thing open.
Buffalo Bills (+2) @ Miami Dolphins -- Let's not get carried away. The Dolphins beat some really bad teams, and the Bills are slumping. The Bills should NOT be an underdog in this game.
Oakland Raiders (-1) @ Minnesota Vikings -- Another odd line. I think the Raiders win this thing by a score.
Dallas Cowboys (-8) @ Washington Redskins -- Easiest pick of the week for me. Redskins might show up to play against their rival, but let's be real, would you really frightened by a team that just got manhandled by the Dolphins?
Sunday Late Games
San Francisco 49ers (-10) vs. Arizona Cardinals -- Biggest tease line of the week. I'm very tempted to take the Cardinals here, but I have to stick with San Fran. They've been money ATS this year, and there's no reason to stop now.
Seattle Seahawks (+1) @ St. Louis Rams -- The Rams have looked better--against poor competition--the last few weeks, but something has gotten into Seattle. I think they're a better team overall (and that's still not saying much).
Tennessee Titans (+7) @ Atlanta Falcons -- Falcons win, but Tennessee covers. The Titans have played tough in most of their games this year, and have a good enough defense to stay in this.
Chicago Bears (-4) vs. San Diego Chargers -- Lovie's boys are rolling. The Bears defense and special teams are playing incredible football, and the offensive line has done a good job of buying Cutler time and run blocking. The Bears look like a legitimate threat again this year.
New York Giants (-3.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles -- The Giants fought hard against the 49ers, and are a pretty good football team. The Eagles are...well, they're something. Gotta take the G-Men at home against the unknown (and disappointing) quantity. This line is another one that isn't final.
New England Patriots (-14.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -- No Bodog line yet on this one, and I have to believe it has a lot to do with the Tyler Palko situation for KC. The Patriots stomped the Jets in the second half on Sunday night, and even the porous NE secondary should be able to handle Tyler Palko, regardless of all the interesting facts about him.